Stock sale risks damaging sector reputation

The social housing regulator has warned that housing associations risk damaging the reputation of the sector if they sell stock inhabited by social tenants.

Fiona MacGregor, executive director of regulation at the Homes and Communities Agency (HCA), said the agency would be keeping a particularly keen eye on social landlords disposing of tenanted stock because of a potential public backlash.

As part of a deregulation drive, ministers have removed the need for associations to obtain regulatory permission to dispose of social assets, although they will still have to notify the HCA of sales.

HCA repair costs probe

The Homes and Communities Agency (HCA) will examine English housing associations’ business plans to check that significant cuts to repairs spending are not a sign of a “failure to maintain stock”.

The English social housing regulator, in its Sector Risk Profile document published today, said it would examine cost efficiencies landlords are planning in order to cope with the four-year, 1% annual rent cut.

The HCA said the mean major repairs cost per unit in the sector is forecast to decrease 10% from £1,032 in 2016 to £928 by 2020.

It said where costs appear “unusually high” it will challenge boards. However, it added: “We will also seek to understand the assumptions within business plans where there are significant reductions in maintenance and repair expenditure to gain assurance that this is not a sign of a registered provider failing to maintain its stock or a simple balancing figure in which significant capital investment programmes are being pushed to future years.”

The HCA also said associations relying on ambitious cost savings need to have clear plans in place and mitigations if they cannot be delivered.

The Sector Risk Profile document outlines key risks to the sector. The HCA warned that providers need to manage sales risk, which has increased due to more development of homes for sale. It said board skills and governance structures need to evolve to match the increasing complexity of providers’ businesses brought about by diversification.

It also cited Universal Credit, Brexit and deregulation measures in the Housing and Planning Bill as risks that providers need to be aware of.

NHF conference round up

This is a useful summary from Inside Housing of the 3 day HA conference:

“The housing association sector’s leaders have converged on Birmingham for the last few days for the annual National Housing Federation conference. There was no shortage of drama, thought-provoking discussion, talking points and juicy gossip. Inside Housing looks at the highlights.

Preacher Dave

The National Housing Federation’s (NHF) enigmatic chief executive was on fine form as he opened the conference on Wednesday. The housing sector has always been something of a religious order, and David Orr was very much in fired-up preacher mode – firing off some shots at those who say housing associations have lost touch with their social purpose (“they’re talking out of a hole in their hats”) and making a big play of the NHF’s Owning Our Future message to send out a signal of independence to any watching government officials. The big message, though – the NHF is going to push very hard for some flexibility over housing grant in the Autumn Statement. And it is sounding increasingly confident.

‘That’ video

www.youtube.com/watch?v=0XngRTR3nEw

It looks like it was produced by Michael Bay – with epic super-slow-mo shots of pigeons circling tower blocks and a soundtrack that jumped straight out of a Marvel blockbuster. But there is no doubt that the NHF’s promo video for the sector – on display before many of the keynote sessions, is a slick, glossy, impressive and professional piece of marketing. The strapline, “If you want a great home, come to a housing association”, is punchier than most previous attempts and could actually catch on. Still though, some of those chief executives were enjoying the chance to glower intensely at the camera a little too much. David Montague’s blue steel glare surely says a modelling career is an option if he ever gets tired of building affordable housing.

Yes, minister

Gavin Barwell introduced himself to the housing association sector on Thursday, and genuinely went down well with a low-key but sensible speech. “There genuinely wasn’t any politics in it, he is here to do business,” said Mr Montague later. “He’s a lot more impressive in person, he looks about 12 in his Twitter bio,” said another unnamed chief executive. In terms of substance, Mr Barwell continued to soften the edges of the homeownership rhetoric – specifically calling for sub-market rent, and promising to listen to calls for flexibility over grant. We will see come the Autumn Statement whether the Treasury is listening to him.

A new Starter?

The future of Starter Homes dominated conversations in some of the bars and coffee shops around the conference. Those in the know suggested the government is after flexibility – but doesn’t want the political drama of breaking a manifesto pledge. As a result the wording of the manifesto is coming under the microscope – could another product be a home with a 20% discount, available to first-time buyers under 40? If so, there is an easy way out. Any sector figures with ideas: Gavin Barwell said he was in listening mode.

Merger mania

The recent high-profile collapse of several housing association mega-mergers was one of the major talking points. Everybody had a view on what went wrong and were full of speculation about other mergers that might, or might not, be on the horizon. Needless to say, those currently involved in merger preparations were eager to stress all is well with their plans.

Fresh ‘LHA cap’ angst

Darrell Smith, a senior Department for Work and Pensions civil servant, confirmed beyond all doubt that the ‘Local Housing Allowance (LHA) cap’ will apply to existing, as well as new, supported housing tenants from 2019. Although some people had interpreted this to be the case, previous announcements had not been clear. Many delegates were surprised by Mr Smith’s comments, and angry that the policy will affect more schemes than they had thought.

The ‘dark side’

Thinktank Policy Exchange has in the past been seen unfavourably by many in the sector, largely due to its ideas around selling high-value social stock. This conference saw it unveil a new report calling for associations to be allowed to raise rents in return for building more homes. While some audience members said there was a lot to like in the report, others took issue with some of its conclusions. When Cym D’Souza, chief executive of Arawak housing association, said she took “umbrage” with the report’s assertion that there should be fewer housing associations, there was a loud applause in the auditorium. Paul Tennant, chief executive of Orbit, which co-sponsored the report, admitted: “We wanted to work with the dark side.”

Devo delay opportunity

Although many commentators have questioned the future of devolution deals after their main architect, George Osborne, left the government, housing associations see the slight slowdown in pace as a chance for them to pitch for a greater role for housing in the deals that are being shaped. Chief executive of Plus Dane, Barbara Spicer, told the conference it was crucial for housing associations to have their say on devolution deals in their areas rather than get left behind as local authorities take the lead.

Paul Smith, cabinet member for housing at Bristol City Council, said he was disappointed by the lack of housing plans in the South West’s emerging deal but this hasn’t stopped Bristol pushing ahead with ambitious plans to up housing numbers after years of under-delivery.

Other delegates speculated about whether the Homes and Communities Agency’s investment arm has much of a future as money is increasingly devolved to combined authorities.

Social purpose

Social purpose is playing on the minds of housing associations this year. In one session the audience were asked to raise a hand if their board had discussed concerns about losing its social purpose over the past year. Nearly every hand went up. At a time when the 1% rent cut is making a dent in finances and business plans are being re-jigged to meet the government’s demand for more development, board members are clearly keen to not lose their founding values.

One chief executive said associations’ renewed focus on development is leaving the upkeep of existing stock out in the cold. He said many associations are stripping their repairs and maintenance budgets to boost funding for new homes. It’s a tricky balance to strike.”

HCA up and down grades

A Norfolk housing association has placed its chief executive on leave after the organisation breached regulatory standards by failing to appoint board members properly.

The Homes and Communities Agency (HCA) today criticised Saffron Housing Trust for keeping quiet about the failings since 2011, having only informed the regulator in June 2016.

In a regulatory judgement today, the HCA downgraded the 5,000-home landlord’s governance rating to a non-compliant G3, which reflected “the scale, impact and duration of Saffron’s historic failures”.

 

The judgement said Saffron had informed the regulator that problems in the governance process and failures to comply with its rules meant some board members had not been appointed properly. This continued over a period “of several years”.

“Significant decisions were made during this period involving third parties and funders and there was uncertainty about the validity of all the decisions that had been made at those meetings given some board meetings had been inquorate,” the regulator added.

“It is understood that Saffron became aware of this issue in 2011 – it appears to have been known at the highest levels within the organisation – yet the matter was not properly and appropriately rectified, nor was it raised with the regulator.”

It said Saffron’s “failure to work openly with the regulator” represented a “fundamental breakdown in trust”.

Saffron’s board is now properly constituted and has ratified all of the decisions made previously by the illegitimate board.

A Saffron spokesperson said: “As an organisation, we are determined to ensure that the historic failings that have come to light are not repeated and that we have correct and robust governance to ensure a stable, compliant and successful future.”

Moody’s had confirmed its credit rating has not changed in light of the discoveries. Saffron said itsfinancial position was unaffected by the error.

Meanwhile, St Vincent’s Housing Association and Tower Hamlets Community Housing (THCH) were each issued with regulatory notices because of breaches over their fire safety procedures.

A spokesperson for St Vincent’s said “bringing these works up to date has been the number one priority for the organisation”. A THCH spokesperson said it had “immediately put in place a recovery plan around fire assessment”.

Colne Housing Society was downgraded to a compliant G2 after failing to submit accurate financial information to its board and the regulator. A spokesperson said an improvement plan was in place to address the HCA’s findings. Aldwyck Housing Group was reissued with a compliant G2 and V2 governance and viability grading following an in-depth assessment with the regulator.

 

Full list of judgements – narrative and strapline recntly issued by the HCA

Provider Governance Viability
Aldwyck Housing Group G2 V2
Colne Housing Society G2 V1
Community Housing Group G2 V1
Cross Keys Homes G1 V1
Golden Lane Housing G1 V1
Peabody Trust G1 V1
Saffron Housing Trust G3 V1
St Vincent’s Housing Association G1 V1
Tower Hamlets Community Housing G3 V2

Vaue of housing reduced since rent cut

The long-term value of social housing properties has slipped significantly across most of the country as a result of the rent cut.

Inside Housing reported:

“New research by Savills Housing Consultancy shows the ‘net present value’ (NPV) of social housing properties has dropped in eight of nine English regions.

The NPV is the value of the social housing unit to the landlord – in basic terms the rental income the landlord can expect over a four year period less costs.

The data, based on information covering 420,000 homes, showed London was the only area where NPVs rose, with an average fall of 15, 9% elsewhere and a peak of 38.3% in the south west.

Savills said this was because landlords had not yet put in place plans to cut back costs, which would see the value of the properties rise.

Instead, Savills said, the majority of landlords have responded by reducing planned maintenance spend to deliver an immediate reduction in expenditure.

Due to rules protecting lenders from the rent cut should they ever repossess a home, valuations for loan purposes do not fall as quickly.

However, over the four-year period of the rent cut they will begin to deteriorate

Mervyn Jones, head of Savills Housing Consultancy, said: “The data shows that, in general, housing providers are responding to the rent cut by making savings in planned maintenance, but to maintain NPVs they need to go further and look at reducing day-to-day costs. This latter aspect does take longer, but it must be part of a balanced approach to cost savings.

“If housing providers do not take further action, it is likely this will reduce their financial capacity to develop homes. There is a risk that it will potentially seriously affect their business plans as it feeds into loan covenants.”

The values in London had not fallen because an increase in market activity boosted average incomes in the capital, Mr Jones said.

The research from Savills comes just a week after the regulator said it would probe housing associations’ response to the rent cut to ensure repairs cuts are not a sign of a failure to maintain stock.”

 

Future supported housing funding

The Secretary of State for Work and Pensions provided a written statement to the House of Commons setting out some detail about how supported housing will be funded in the future. It follows concerns that elements of the government’s plans to cut spending on housing benefit (HB)/universal credit (UC) would disproportionately affect providers of supported housing and force some schemes to close.

This is a useful summary from CIH

What you need to know future funding supported hsg

Tory conference – Housing highlights

Sajid Javid has vowed to change ‘nimby’ attitudes, urging local leaders to support housing even where it is unpopular.

According to Inside Housing:

“The communities secretary, in a speech to the Conservative Party Conference today, said “we need to do much better” at delivering homes. He described the 170,000 homes added to the housing stock in 2014/15 as “not a bad number but far fewer than we need”.

He said: “Everyone agrees we need to build more homes, but too many of us object to them being built next to us. We’ve got to change that attitude.”

He added: “Local leaders must be prepared to make difficult calls, even if they’re unpopular, and so must MPs and councillors.

“Of course, there are valid reasons to oppose some planning applications: if they’re in the wrong place, or there’s not enough infrastructure, or they’re just plain ugly. But all of us have a duty to think about the long-term consequences of every decision we make.”

Mr Javid also said the government remains committed to building one million new homes by 2020.

He outlined several measures today to boost housebuilding (see below) including £5bn of loan finance.

NEW CONSERVATIVE HOUSING POLICIES AT A GLANCE

  • £3bn Home Builders Fund: Several existing funding schemes, which have not been fully allocated, will be combined into one fund. These are the £525m Builders Finance Fund, the £1bn large sites infrastructure programme and the Build to Rent fund. The fund also includes £1.15bn of previously unannounced loan finance, made up of £800m of ‘long-term loans’ and £325m ‘short-term’. In total £2bn will be used for long-term funding for infrastructure, with £1bn administered by the Homes Builders Federation for small and custom builders. Ministers say the £3bn fund will enable 25,000 new homes by 2020 and 225,000 longer term.
  • £2bn Accelerated Construction programme: Government will partner with contractors and investors to speed up development on public land. Mr Javid said the government will “create new supply chains using offsite construction” and encourage new models of building. This scheme will enable 15,000 new homes by 2020, Mr Javid said.
  • Housing white paper: Published later this year containing “further significant measures” to allow the government to hit one million new homes by 2020.
  • Brownfield land: Ministers have promised a package of measures to encourage urban regeneration and building on brownfield land.
  • Funding flexibility: Housing minister Gavin Barwell indicated again that the government may change the Shared Ownership and Affordable Homes Programme to include funds for sub-market rent.”

Social rent is better VFM says report

The government would achieve better value for taxpayers’ money if it built 100,000 new social rented homes a year even in a struggling post-Brexit economy, research has concluded.

A report by thinktank Capital Economics, commissioned by the National Federation for Arm’s-Length Management Organisations (NFA), the Association of Retained Council Housing, the Local Government Association and campaign group Social Housing Under Threat looked at four post-Brexit scenarios for social housing, including weak and strong economic outlooks.

According to Inside Housing:

In its analysis it found the government could generate savings of between £102bn and £319bn over a 50-year period if it helped pay towards 100,000 new social rented homes a year. This is because the housing benefit bill would be cut because more people would be living in the social rented sector rather than the more expensive private rented sector.

It concluded that even in a weak economic scenario − where growth is weak and borrowing costs are high − the government would still make savings compared with current housing policy.

According to Inside Housing:

This was based on a comparison of only 9,100 new social rented homes being built each year from 2018/19 onwards rather than 100,000 a year.

“The thinktank has assumed 9,100 social homes a year because the government’s latest funding package for 2016/21 does not include any funding for social rented housing. It calculates 9,100 social rented homes will be funded annually through Section 106 planning payments or by landlords’ own resources.

The thinktank included housing benefit costs in the calculations of the welfare savings to government.

If the government helped to fund 100,000 homes a year this would add more than four million homes to the UK’s housing stock over 50 years. Providing new homes for low-income families would have “knock-on” benefits such as savings in health, education and productivity. The authors have not quantified how much these savings could total.

They pointed out that unlike other types of infrastructure investment, social housing begins to pay for itself once it is built through rent payments.

The government would need to increase its borrowing until it was borrowing an extra £6.6bn-£7bn a year by 2021/22  to fund the new housing, which the authors said is “small change” compared with the £800bn the government is expected to spend overall by 2021/22, and is equivalent to two weeks’ worth of spending on the NHS.

The report is an update of research released last year. ”

Ending of Shorthold tenancies is increasing homelessness

Here is a useful article from the Guardian on the rise of homelessness from the ending of provate sector short term tenure:

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/sep/28/eviction-by-private-landlord-making-record-numbers-homeless-in-uk?utm_source=Chartered%20Institute%20of%20Housing&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=7600064_News%20and%20views%3A%205%20October%202016&utm_content=England%20news%3A%20Record%20numbers%20homeless%20after%20ending%20assured%20shorthold%20tenancy&dm_i=YRX,4IW8W,50VN0X,GQZO0,1

Consideration to exemption from pay to stay

The Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG) will consider exempting council tenants from Pay to Stay in areas where social rents and market rents are similar.

Acccording to Inside Housing:

Inside Housing understands civil servants from the DCLG have drawn up draft regulations for ministers which include an exemption in areas where the difference between market rent and social rent is very small. Under Pay to Stay, social tenants with household incomes of more than £31,000, or £40,000 in London, have to pay up to market rent levels. Councils have to administer the scheme, returning the extra income to the Treasury.

Under the latest regulations, councils would compare the market and social rents in the area, deduct an administrative cost per tenant which is likely to be set by the government, and if the difference between the rents is small then a council could receive an exemption. It is not yet clear what definition of ‘small’ will be used. The government has said councils will be able to determine market rent levels.

Housing bodies, including the Association of Retained Council Housing (ARCH) and the National Federation of Arms-Length Management Organisations, have been lobbying the government to exempt tenants where market and social rents are similar. They argue that the policy would place a signficant burden on councils and therefore should not apply where income generated is minimal.

Officials are also keen for councils to make several attempts to obtain a tenant’s income details before moving them on to market rent.

If a tenant fails to tell the council their income details then they will be charged market rent. However, the DCLG could include a requirement for a face-to-face conversation, before tenants are moved onto higher rents.

Inside Housing understands no final decisions have been made about the regulations.

A spokesperson for the DCLG said: “We will make an announcement in due course.”

In numbers: Pay to Stay

£31,000
Income threshold after which local authority tenants will be charged up to market rents under Pay to Stay. The figure is £40,000 in London in recognition of higher rents in the capital

350,000
Number of social rented tenants with household incomes of more than £30,000. More than 40,000 have incomes of £50,000, Whitehall says

130,000
Number of council tenants the government expects to be affected when the policy is introduced in April 2017