Nearly one in three English housing associations are likely to stop entering new deals to build homes for sub-market rent as a response to the 1% rent reduction
Inside Housing has completed a survey of 135 chief executives. It reveals the extent to which the 1% annual social housing rent cut will prompt a dramatic change in the sector. 31.9% of association chief executives said as a result of the rent cut, it is likely their organisations will stop entering new agreements for sub-market rent, with 11.1% saying it is ‘extremely likely’.
According to Inside Housing:
“The survey also revealed landlords are likely to build more homes for sale, with nearly 73% saying it is likely low-cost homeownership and market sale will make up a greater proportion of their future pipelines. This suggests landlords were already planning a shift into ownership ahead of the publication on Tuesday of the Housing and Planning Bill, which outlined measures to promote the tenure.
Gavin Smart, deputy chief executive of the Chartered Institute of Housing, said: “Building new homes – especially those at sub-market rents – is resource-hungry and for some landlords it won’t be possible to continue current levels of development.”
David Montague, chair of the G15 group of landlords, said he expects most of the larger landlords inLondon, including his organisation L&Q, to retain an element of sub-market rent in their development plans. However, he said L&Q has concluded it can no longer rely on an assumption of housing benefitsupport, so needs to generate more cross-subsidy.
The survey shows that in addition to stopping entering new agreements, 53.1% of landlords are likely to renegotiate existing agreements to build homes for sub-market rent.
The survey also shows 72.1% of landlords are likely to cut back on non-core activity – work unrelated to housing management or development.
This suggests a likely reduction in activity such as helping people into work, health initiatives and community work. Elaine Bailey, chief executive of Hyde Group, told staff in August that Hyde will “look at reducing the range of services we provide by focusing on our statutory landlord obligations”.
John Giesen, chief executive of B3 Living, said doing community work is not “non-core” for his organisation and it will continue.
Nearly six in 10 respondents (58.9%) said they are likely to consider redundancies, 53.5% are likely to look at sharing costs, 34.9% building more market rent homes and 34.1% mergers.
The government estimates that the rent cut will be leading to a cost to housing associations of £1.6bn a year in rental income by 2020/21.
Click here for the full analysis of the survey results.
In numbers
31.9%
Housing association CEOs surveyed who said it is likely they will stop entering new agreements to build homes for sub-market rent
53%
CEOs who said it is likely they will seek to re-negotiate existing agreements to build homes for sub-market rent
73%
CEOs who said homes for low-cost homeownership or market sale are likely to make up a greater proportion of development ”